Chaos and Complex Systems Seminar

Tristan L'Ecuyer, UW Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, will outline a robust statistical method for assessing how long it will take for predicted rain and snowfall trends to emerge from natural year-to-year variations and, therefore, become testable with satellite data records. Utilizing this new strategy, a surprisingly robust climate change metric is revealed that may be observable by the middle of the next decade.